Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.7#342
Expected Predictive Rating-16.7#344
Pace68.2#163
Improvement+1.3#106

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#342
First Shot-12.5#350
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#16
Layup/Dunks-7.5#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#318
Freethrows-3.0#324
Improvement+1.5#98

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#322
First Shot-5.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#279
Layups/Dunks-4.5#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows-3.1#331
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 229   @ Western Kentucky L 66-79 10%     0 - 1 -14.7 -13.4 -0.4
  Nov 14, 2016 37   @ TCU L 62-98 1%     0 - 2 -21.8 -4.4 -17.4
  Nov 16, 2016 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-87 3%     0 - 3 -24.2 -15.7 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2016 252   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-79 12%     0 - 4 -9.9 +0.0 -10.2
  Nov 25, 2016 323   Northern Arizona L 57-71 32%     0 - 5 -24.8 -16.4 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2016 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-67 OT 17%     1 - 5 +3.5 -5.5 +8.0
  Nov 29, 2016 176   Jacksonville St. L 69-72 12%     1 - 6 -6.1 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 04, 2016 129   @ Troy L 65-83 4%     1 - 7 -13.7 -8.1 -5.6
  Dec 12, 2016 80   @ San Diego St. L 41-73 2%     1 - 8 -23.2 -17.1 -11.3
  Dec 14, 2016 183   @ Tennessee St. L 46-68 6%     1 - 9 -20.3 -25.1 +5.8
  Dec 22, 2016 166   @ Ball St. L 48-73 5%     1 - 10 -22.4 -24.2 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2017 331   Grambling St. W 73-69 47%     2 - 10 1 - 0 -10.9 -4.7 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2017 329   Jackson St. L 60-63 46%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -17.7 -8.2 -9.9
  Jan 07, 2017 348   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-71 50%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -23.7 -20.8 -2.1
  Jan 09, 2017 344   @ Mississippi Valley L 70-73 44%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -17.0 -10.7 -6.4
  Jan 14, 2017 351   @ Alabama A&M W 57-55 61%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -16.5 -7.3 -8.5
  Jan 21, 2017 290   Alcorn St. L 71-78 31%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -17.7 -6.7 -10.7
  Jan 23, 2017 327   Southern W 79-65 45%     4 - 14 3 - 4 -0.5 +8.2 -6.8
  Jan 28, 2017 220   @ Texas Southern L 68-70 9%     4 - 15 3 - 5 -3.2 -5.0 +1.7
  Jan 30, 2017 321   @ Prairie View L 52-72 24%     4 - 16 3 - 6 -28.2 -18.5 -12.3
  Feb 04, 2017 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-65 69%     5 - 16 4 - 6 -8.8 +6.0 -13.5
  Feb 06, 2017 344   Mississippi Valley W 71-66 63%     6 - 16 5 - 6 -14.1 -12.9 -1.1
  Feb 11, 2017 351   Alabama A&M W 97-89 3OT 77%     7 - 16 6 - 6 -15.5 -12.5 -5.0
  Feb 18, 2017 290   @ Alcorn St. L 67-75 17%     7 - 17 6 - 7 -13.6 -5.5 -8.1
  Feb 20, 2017 327   @ Southern L 73-79 27%     7 - 18 6 - 8 -15.4 -5.2 -10.2
  Feb 25, 2017 220   Texas Southern L 73-86 19%     7 - 19 6 - 9 -19.3 -6.9 -11.7
  Feb 27, 2017 321   Prairie View L 58-77 41%     7 - 20 6 - 10 -32.3 -9.3 -27.0
  Mar 02, 2017 331   @ Grambling St. L 69-82 28%     7 - 21 6 - 11 -22.8 -1.1 -23.2
  Mar 04, 2017 329   @ Jackson St. L 59-65 28%     7 - 22 6 - 12 -15.7 -8.7 -7.7
  Mar 07, 2017 220   @ Texas Southern L 72-87 9%     7 - 23 -16.2 +0.9 -17.6
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%